Trading The Economic Reports Like Non Farm Payroll Report Shocking Secrets

If you are a trader than you will be knowing how important news is for the markets. Breaking news can move the markets upside down in matter of few minutes. But breaking news cannot be predicted. You can only hope to avoid it when you are trading. However, there are certain economic reports that are released periodically that have the potential of moving the markets. There are traders popularly known as the news traders who trade these economic reports and make a lot of pips or ticks or points whatever!

The most market moving reports are the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, The Consumer and the Producer Price Index, The Gross Domestic Product (GDP). the monthly Employment Reports or what you call the NFP Report, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). Now as said before if these reports have no surprise for the markets, nothing will happen. But in case if there is a surprise, markets can turn upside down in matter of minutes! Now when these economic reports are released, market compares the expected with the unexpected. The more these reports have the element of the unexpected, the more the markets become nervous. So, if you are a news trader or an economic report trader, you need to watch CNBC and Bloomberg constantly to know what the market is expecting.

Now, you can know the date of release of these economic reports by looking at the Economic Calendar. Each month, most of these reports are released by the different agencies that includes both public as well as private at fixed dates. By looking at the Economic Calendar, you can know these dates as it provides the listing of dates when these reports will be released.

Now, FOMC Meeting Minutes are considered to be very important as interest rate changes are decided in the FOMC Meeting. FOMC stands for the Federal Open Market Committee. The other important reports can be the CPI ( Consumer Price Index) and the PPI ( Producer Price Index). Now, you never know how markets are going to react to each one of these economic reports. Some are given more importance by the markets. But this preferrence also keeps on changing.

Now, Non Farm Payroll Report or what you call the NFP Report is the most market moving report in the recent times. This report is released by the US DOL (Department of Labor) and it gives the state of employment in the economy during the last month period. It is released on the first Friday of each month exactly at 8:30 AM EST. There are NFP Report Traders who easily make 150-200 pips at this time within minutes.

These types of reports can also start a news trend in the market that might last for quite sometime! Now as said before, the market reaction is dependent on how muc surprise there is in the report. If there is no element of unexpected in the report, the market may react mildly. But if there is a big surprise in the report that the market did not anticipate, markets can be volatile for hours or even days before the importance of the surprise is digested by the market.

Now, as the economy shifts gear from slow growth to high growth the state of employment figures can become highly important for the economy. This report is used by the traders, investors and Wall Street Analyst to anticipate any interest rate changes in the economy. In the end, it is the interest rates that stand at the center of the financial universe! NFP Report has become important in the last few years keeping in view the slow economic growth.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Download this 70+ page Forex-4 Pack Forex Swing Trading Training Kit FREE. Get this 1 Minute Forex Trading System that makes money instantly FREE.

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Bullish necklines candlestick pattern is a two stick trend confirming pattern. When this pattern appears during the uptrend, it is a signal that the uptrend is still in force and is expected to continue for sometime in the future. Now, there are two type of neckline patterns, the in neck and the out neck pattern.

The candle formed on the setup day should be a long bullish candle that shows a lot of buying. On the signal day a bearish candle either long or short is formed with its closing price very near the close of the setup day.

Now,there can be two types of Neckline Patterns depending on the closing prices on the signal and the setup days. In case, if the closing price on the first day is little lower than the closing price on the signal day, it is a In Neck Pattern. And if the closing price on the signal day is almost near the closing price on the setup day, it is an On Neck Pattern.

Both these patterns are telling the same thing that the uptrend is going to continue in the near future. So even if you are not able to differentiate between the In Neck and the On Neck, don’t worry much. You must at least be able to identify that a Neckline Pattern has been formed. You might be thinking that this is not much of a difference. Well, this is true but nevertheless, you should be aware of this slight difference between the In Neck and the On Neck Patterns.

In case of the bearish meeting line candlestick pattern, you see a strong up day on the setup day with a long bullish candle. On the signal day, you find a gap opening which entices the sellers to step in the market. The selling continues throughout the day. As a result a long bearish candle is formed with the close of the day very near its low plus the close of the day very near to the close of the setup day. Now this a trend reversal pattern.

In case of the bearish piercing line candlestick pattern, the setup day is bullish with long bullish candle. The signal day is bearish with an opening higher than the setup days high. What this means is that on the signal day sellers came rushing in, pushing prices down through the setup days opening price and below its midpoint.

This is a trend reversal pattern that usually occurs in the last stages of an uptrend. The price is still rising but it has lost its momentum. Now as a trader, when you combine these candlestick patterns with technical indicators, you get a powerful tool in your arsenal.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Master these Candlestick Patterns with this 82 page PDF FREE Candlestick Guide!Get this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading Report FREE!

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The Benefits of Moving to Retirement Resorts

Retirement resorts seem an appealing way of living the golden age pleasantly, and lots of people over 55 plan their investments so as to be able to travel to different parts of the world and have fun. There are even people who move abroad in the attempt to escape the huge taxes, the high stress and increasing criminality rate. Which is why many retirement resorts, towns and villages have been developed in many parts of the world, particularly in Europe and the United States.

You can enjoy lots of facilities on site. ‘Third age’ or retirement resorts provide socializing areas, healthcare and special medical facilities, and areas designed for sports and leisure activities. In retirement resorts, you can enjoy anything from a nice restaurant to a pleasant hour at the swimming pool. Plus there are also shopping facilities as well as good properties to invest in. From the economic perspective, retirement resorts have definitely got governments’ attention, because lots of money can be made here.

The majority of the retirement resorts in the United States are located in warm climates. Yet, Granada Spain is an exception to this rule, as this Southern European area has great retirement resorts that function both in summer and in winter. The 320 days of sunshine thus seems a nonsense and you should not trust everything you read in advertisements.

The budget, the lifestyle and the health benefits are the elements that should help you choose between several retirement resorts. The sense of community is also important, particularly if you think of becoming a permanent resident of one certain location. Friendship and social relationships are very appealing to many retirees although there are cases when the elderly show no inclination towards leaving their homes.

There are very serious issues involved when analyzing several retirement resorts in view of a possible relocation. It’s not all sand, sun and socializing, as lots of difficulties may appear. Are you sure you’ll find peace and tranquility away from home? Health insurance, health problems, distance from the family are very important aspects as well, not to mention the impact of the legal or tax system.

For more information regarding financial retirement planning, Retirement Planning, or Planning For Retirement tips, head to my blog for more great Retirement Planning Advice, to discover how to start saving for your retirement today.

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How to Properly Take Advantages of Florida Retirement Communities

Florida retirement communities sound appealing to lots of American retirees who want to make the best out of their after-retirement living options. This state does indeed provide lots of opportunities but, in reality, things are not as bright as you may expect. The real estate market has greatly increased in this part of the US, although the financial crisis has slowed down the boom. House prices in Florida have seriously dropped, yet, too eager retirees should be careful in their selection of Florida retirement communities.

There is no other state or country in the world that has as many retirement communities as Florida. The warm climate and the proximity of the ocean make towns in Florida a favorite retirement location. The costs in different Florida retirement communities vary depending on the neighborhood. To count just a few popular towns for retirees, we ought to mention Gainesville, Tallahassee, Venice, Stuart, Abacao or Key West, but there are many more.

Another issue that makes Florida retirement communities popular is the absence of income taxes, and there are just a few other states that provide similar conditions. There are thousands of permanent residents that have relocated from other states to this part of USA, particularly since the property taxes are also kept at a decent level. Nevertheless, Florida retirement communities are not part of any certification program.

Residents of the states have more advantages in choosing Florida retirement communities as compared to people from other parts of the country. The truth is that relocation has lots of challenges and very few people feel prepared to change a lifestyle and a home that they’ve grown used to in a lifetime for a new residence on the other side of the country. Climate differences could also be an issue for people who suffer from chronic ailments which is why it is important to check all the aspects that may impair you decision to relocate to Florida when retired.

To sum up: there is a number of elements that you should be aware of in relation with Florida retirement communities. You can check Internet reviews, read books and magazines, but the even better alternative is to actually visit the town or community before moving. Moreover, you can ask around and see other people’s opinion about the conditions in Florida retirement communities.

To learn more concerning financial retirement planning, Retirement Planning, or Planning For Retirement tips, head to my blog for more great Retirement Planning Advice, to learn how to start saving for your retirement today.

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How to Get The Best Out of 403b Retirement Plans

403b retirement plans create the savings alternative to 401k plans but for work categories such as self-employed ministers, public schools employees and the employees of tax-exempt organizations. There are several advantages in using 403b retirement plans and they apply to both employers and employees, despite the limitations that indeed accompany any retirement system in general.

First of all, the matching benefits of 403b retirement plans become tools that companies use to attract valuable employees. Then, the contributions to the plan can be written off the taxes both for the hiring company and the employee that contributes money. You can enjoy decades of tax deferment while the money in the 430 account keeps growing. It is only when you start withdrawing cash that taxes will be paid for the funds.

Another good part about 403b retirement plans is that you can get loans against this money when you are in a dire need of cash. However, you should be aware of the way such loans and their repayment will affect your taxes. And this is just an example of the limitations that come with these retirement plans. There is a maximum potential contribution to the 403b retirement plans set per fiscal year. And only employees from very profitable companies manage to get a total maximum contribution.

Once you are 59.5 years old, you can start withdrawing money from the 403b retirement plans. Withdrawals are possible before this age as well, but you will receive penalties. If you meet the age condition, you’ll just pay taxes for the withdrawn sum. Younger users get a 10% penalty on top of this tax per income. Different rules are set by the IRS for employees that own more than 5% of the company that they work for. The government thus prevents very wealthy people to accumulate large amounts of capital for which they don’t pay taxes.

Depending on the life expectancy, you will have all the savings in the 403b retirement plans distributed evenly. The IRS also penalizes you for excess accumulation if you do not start to take the required minimum distribution, then you will be charged with a very high tax. Read more on what tax savings you can make with the contribution to the 403b retirement plans and then see what dividends, capital gains and interests you can earn in the 403b account.

To learn more concerning financial retirement planning, Retirement Planning, or Planning For Retirement tips, go over to my blog for more great Retirement Planning Advice, to learn how to start saving for your retirement today.

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Green Energy Stocks Investing

The end of fossil fuel resources is near. The way oil and other natural resources have been extracted from the earth in the last century; the world is in danger of facing global warming as well as depletion of these precious resources. Do you know China is the largest producer of coal? Coal production n China would peak somewhere around 2010-2020. Are you aware of the fact that the peak of the global oil production (all liquids, including unconventional oil) will peak in the next few years.

There were many factors that contributed to the massive use of these natural resources, industrialization and population increase were the most important. Then there was no consideration given to the environmental damage this would do. You must be thinking what to do every available source of energy seems to be peaking in the near future? The global peak of uranium production lies somewhere around2025-2050. The global peak of natural gas production lies somewhere around 2025!

But there are many safe and environmentally friendly methods to generate the energy required. Uptill now these methods had been ignored maybe because they were a bit expensive. They were expensive in the sense that these methods factor in the external costs that were previously being ignored. Do you know this fact that the US Department of Energy has estimated that there is enough available offshore wind energy of the coasts of US that can nearly cover the current US electricity capacity? So what will fill this void in energy production in the coming decades?

With introduction of energy saving technology in the fluorescent lamps and bulbs, a lot of energy can be saved. If every bulb in the US was replaced with an energy efficient fluorescent lamp, enough energy could be saved to shut down around 100 power plants. If all the care in US were hybrids by 2025 that would roughly reduce 80% of the US oil import.

Enough power could be generated for the entire US by covering only 9% of Nevada desert with parabolic trough systems. This is something like a plot of land 100 by 100 miles. So the solution is already there and as the end of fossil fuel nears which is only a decade away, more and more alternative energy solutions will be used to generate cheap energy.

You might have seen only a glimpse of that last year in 2008 when crude oil prices jumped to around $150 per barrel. This is something that is bound to happen. The supplies of fossil fuel are finite and will be exhausted in the near future. When the oil price reached above $100, plans got rolling for massive investment in the alternative energy sector. With the oil price coming down, these plans have been shelved but will be rerolled again when the oil price again starts to sky rocket.

There is little doubt that companies operating in the green energy sector will ultimately become the major players in the overall energy generation and transportation mix of tomorrow. This prediction is based on our insatiable energy consumption and the lack of conventional supplies to meet the growing energy demand. This is most probably the safest long term bet that you can make in the long term.

Exactly one hundred years back, the oil century started. It was with the advent of the modern automobile that oil became a global necessity. Imagine Henry Ford in 1909 asking you to invest in his Ford Motor Company that is about to mass produce a horseless carriage. Keeping in view the above facts, investing in green energy stocks in the best long term investment that you can make!

Right now the world is standing at another threshold. But many folks in that year of 1909 were skeptical about Model T success. This is now 2009, exactly a century has passed. Do you think investing in green energy stocks is a bad idea? He tells you that this invention could change the entire landscape of the country. Knowing everything that you know right now with the power of hind sight with you, you will definitely say yes. Green Energy stocks may turn out to be your best investment decision of your life. A massive investment frenzy is about to take place in the green energy technologies.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. Try these cash printing Forex Signals from heaven. Discover a revolutionary Forex Robot System!

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Index Options Trading (Part II)

Index options premium all depends on the volatility of the market. The duller the market, the lower the index options premium. Well it depends on the expectations of the traders whether the market will move sufficiently in the near future for them to exercise their buy or sell rights. The more volatile the market, the higher then index option premium! Infact there are many factors that can affect the options premium like theta Vega, gamma. Now what are these terms and from where they have cropped up? These terms are known as the options Greeks. Before you start trading options, you need to learn what these terms means.

You can find many options types of options contracts. You will find futures options, currency options, stock options, ETF options and so on. Options offer investors far more trading strategies as compared to futures. Such strategies can range from highly speculative to highly conservative. Options are a far more basic instrument than the ETFs and futures. You can easily replicate any ETF or futures contract with an option but the reverse is not true.

So as said before, options can help you profit from a bullish market as well as from a bearish market. It all depends on how well you anticipate the mood of the market and devise your options trading strategy. In case, the market does not decline, you only lose the premium that you had paid for the put option. Suppose, you are afraid that the market is going to go down in the near future! You can protect yourself from this decline in the market by buying a out index option. When the market declines, the put increases in value.

There are always two parties to a trade. In case of options, one is the options buyer and the other is the options seller. Options trading are a zero sum game. Either the options buyer wins or the seller wins. Both can’t. Now the seller of a call options believes that the market will not move sufficiently up in the near future so he/she can make money by writing a call options contract and selling it to someone who believes the maker will move up. Of course for anyone who buys an options contract there should be someone to sell the options contract to make a complete transaction.

So in a way, buying and selling of options contracts make options trading a zero sum game. Either the market will move up or it will not. Either the option seller will win or the options buyer will win. The development of the stock index futures and the index options was a major development in’80s for investors and money managers. The buyers of the put options are in a way insuring their portfolio against possible market decline but who are the sellers of the put options. They are primarily those investors who are willing to buy those stocks but only at lower prices. Options are an important component of any money manager portfolio. Many hedging strategies now depend on options.

ETFs give you the familiarity of the stocks but like index futures much higher liquidity and superior tax efficiency. The Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) gave the investor still more ways to diversify across all market with very low costs.

You can even find options contracts written on ETFs. ETFs give you the familiarity of the stocks but like index futures much higher liquidity and superior tax efficiency. The Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) gave the investor still more ways to diversify across all market with very low costs. There are many advantages to investing in options as compared to stocks. There are all sorts of options contracts now available in the market. Index options give the investors the ability to insure the value of their portfolios at the lowest possible prices and save on the transaction costs and taxes. Why don’t you try trading index options?

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Try these cash printing Forex Signals from heaven. Discover a revolutionary Forex Robot System!

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Growth Stocks Investing

Capitalization or cap refers to the combined value of all the share of a company’s stocks. The division between large cap, mid cap and small cap are often blurry and not sharp. When you start looking for good stocks, you often come across these terms like large cap, mid cap, small cap, growth and value. Let’s discuss these terms for a moment.

However the following divisions are generally accepted: Large caps are companies with over $5 Billion in capitalization. Mid caps are companies with $1 to $5 Billion in capitalization and small caps are companies with $250 million to $1 Billion in capitalization. Anything below $250 million can be considered as micro cap. Now the most important term that you come across is growth stocks and value stocks. How do you determine this is a growth stock or a value stock? Perhaps the most important ratio is the Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E).

You must have often heard of the P/E ratio of a stock being talked about the analyst on CNBC or Bloomberg. Perhaps the most important ratio is the Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E). Now the most important term that you come across is growth stocks and value stocks. How do you determine this is a growth stock or a value stock?

Let’s make this clear with an example. Do you know how to read the balance sheet of a company? One of the most important things in doing research on a stock is the balance sheet of the company. Suppose, company ABC stock is presently selling for $50. Now suppose that last year company ABC earned $5 for every share of the stock outstanding. This means stock ABC P/E ratio is 50/5=10. So the higher the P/E ratio, the more investors are willing to pay for the stock. So what is the P/E ratio? The P/E ratio divides the price of the stock by the earnings per share. Over the years, studies have shown that the P/E ratio is somehow related with the growth of a company. Now the higher the P/E ratio, the more growth the company is supposed to have. So it can be either the company is growing real fast of the investor have high hopes of its growth. Now these hopes can be realistic or foolish, you never know!

Eugene Fama did seminal research on stocks and stock market s in’70s. Most of his results were startling and broke many myths. According to Fama and French, two famous researchers who did ground breaking research on stocks, over the last 77 years, large growth stocks have only seen 9.9% annualized rate of return as compared to 11.5% for the large value stocks.

So most of these growth stocks become highly popular in a small period of time! Everyone rushes to buy these growth stocks thinking that they are great investments. The most probable cause seems to be their immense popularity. Since most of the headlines are captures by high growth companies, investors seem to think that they are the best investments. Now intuitively you might have thought that growth stocks are better. What can be the reason for their lower performance over the years?

So large growth stocks tend to get overpriced before you are able to buy them! Think about Google, how its stock price shot up within a matter of weeks after it hit the market. Weeks after that it began to cool off.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. Try these cash printing Forex Signals from heaven. Discover a revolutionary Forex Robot System!

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Stock Investing

The whole point of investing in stocks is to choose one that has the greatest chance of a rising share value. Don’t we all look for a stock that we could buy for $10 and later on sell for $300 per share? Well, how can we proceed to accomplish such a feat? What would make a stock rise so much?

Many people think of buying stocks as if they are buying a piece of paper. No doubt all these financial instruments are pieces of paper written on real assets that give you to right to claim a share in some of the earnings of those real assets. So if the company does well, its stock will go up in price and if the company does poorly its stock will go down in price. Buying a stock is essentially buying a small piece of the company and its future potential for growth and profits.

Now why does the stock goes up and down with the performance of the company. Actually the real force behind the stock rise and fall is the market place. The marketplace is in fact buyers and sellers, individuals and organizations that want to buy stocks or sell them.

This buying and selling of stocks can only take place in exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange and over the counter markets like NASDAQ. If there are more buyers of the stock, its value will go up and if there are more sellers in the market, the stock price goes down.

Sometimes you will find that the company does well and is posting good quarterly earnings but still its stock price goes down. What’s the reason behind this? Now it doesn’t mean that if the company does well and is showing good profits and earnings, its stock price will go up.

In reality the price of stock depends on the investor’s expectations. The price of a stock goes down because there are more sellers than buyers. So why is it so? The stock price does not go up or down just based on the company’s present performance. Stock price goes up and down because of what the buyers and sellers expect will happen with the company in the near future.

In the short term, the behavior of the stock price is irrational and it can behave in crazy and illogical ways. However, the performance of the stock and the performance of the company over the long term have a logical relationship.

Stock investing is all about doing good research before you make your final decision to invest in a particular stock. Focus on finding companies that are strong, well positioned in the right industries and have solid fundamentals like a good management, good product, good service, growing industry, rising sales, increasing profits and so on. The bottom line is don’t worry about the short term gyrations of the stock price. Sometimes the industry and the economy matters more than the company. Picking a stock doesn’t happen in a vacuum. Understanding the company’s industry and the overall economic environment is critical to stock picking process. It would be interesting for you to know that Warren Buffet, the world’s greatest stock investor has over the years been a value investor. His famous investments were in insurance and manufacturing. He buys companies that have fallen on bad times but inherently their business model is sound, just maybe need a good management.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. Try these cash printing Forex Signals from heaven. Discover a revolutionary Forex Robot System!

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Commodity Mutual Funds

If you have been following the breaking news that you might have come across the news that gold prices have reached historically the highest level! Recently gold broke the price barrier of $1000 per ounce. This might be the best time to invest in commodities. Some expert of the opinion that the secular bull market started in the commodity market a few years back and may continue for the coming decade! If you want to invest in commodities than you have many options like trading commodity futures, commodity ETF, commodity stocks or commodity mutual funds. A mutual fund is a fund managed by an investment professional on behalf of the fund investors. Now, mutual funds by law are constrained to follow conservative trading methods. Mutual funds cannot engage themselves in such sophisticated and risky trading techniques like arbitrage trades, long short strategies and distressed asset investing.

There are many different mutual funds like stock funds, bond funds, currency funds and even country specific mutual funds. But there are a number of mutual funds that specialize in investing in commodities or commodity related products. If you want to have a low risk investment in commodities than you should think about buying shares of a commodity mutual fund.

The rate of return all depends on the investment strategy of the fund manager. You will have to minus your management fees and the different loads from this rate of return to arrive at the rate of return hat would reach you! These commodity mutual funds use different investment strategies. Some of these commodity mutual funds invest in derivates based on commodities such as futures contracts and options based on futures contracts traded on the major exchanges in New York, Chicago and so on.

Other commodity mutual funds may invest in companies that process these raw commodities such as energy companies and mining companies. So how can you invest in these commodity mutual funds? After doing your research on these commodity mutual funds, you can select one that you consider to fit your investment objectives, simply write a check and purchase the shares of that commodity mutual fund either through your broker or directly through the fund providers.

It is always good to make a list of research questions that you need answered while doing your research. These days a lot of research can be done online. Even you can ask for the prospectus of the mutual fund online. Now I said, after doing your research. The first step in your research should be to compile a list of questions like what is the fund’s investment objective, what securities does the fund invest in, who manages the fund, what kind of strategy does the fund uses, what type of people invest in this fund, what are the risks involved in investing in this fund, what is the funds track record, what is the funds fees and expenses and so on.

Once you have your list of questions, see if the fund prospectus answers these questions satisfactorily. The good thing is that most of the mutual funds send their fund prospectus free! Now the two main commodity mutual funds are the PIMCO Commodity Real Return Strategy Fund and the Oppenhiemer Real Asset Fund. Now PIMCO Commodity Real Return Strategy Fund (PCRAX) is the largest commodity mutual fund in the market with $12 Billion of assets under its management. PCRAX tries to mimic the performance of Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Index by investing directly in commodity linked instruments like futures contracts, forwards contracts and options on futures.

Now as always Morningstar website is a very good resource for doing your research on commodity mutual funds. It can give you a lot of information about these commodity mutual funds such as the latest news, updates, load charges, expense ratios and other useful key data. Morningstar also have got a five star rating system that can be really helpful to you in picking the best commodity mutual fund.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Trade Dow Futures . Learn Commodity Trading !

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